10 years ago you had to call computational statistics "machine learning" to trick VCs without any technical knowledge to fund you. now you have to call it "AI". both are complete misnomers. can computational statistics be used for evil? yes (mass surveillance, deep fakes, etc.) can it be used for good? yes (improved weather forecasting, earlier disease diagnostics, etc.) on the whole do economic incentives all-but-guarantee it will be used for evil more than good? yes. does any of this have anything to do with cognition/intelligence/sentience/etc? not even a little
Feb 12, 2024

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i think that large language models like chatgpt are effectively a neat trick we’ve taught computers to do that just so happen to be *really* helpful as a replacement for search engines; instead of indexing sources with the knowledge you’re interested in finding, it just indexes the knowledge itself. i think that there are a lot of conversations around how we can make information more ā€œaccessibleā€ (both in terms of accessing paywalled knowledge and that knowledge’s presentation being intentionally obtuse and only easily parseable by other academics), but there are very little actual conversations about how llms could be implemented to easily address both kinds of accessibility. because there isn’t a profit incentive to do so. llms (and before them, blockchains - but that’s a separate convo) are just tools; but in the current economic landscape a tool isn’t useful if it can’t make money, so there’s this inverse law of the instrument happening where the owning class’s insistence that we only have nails in turn means we only build hammers. any new, hot, technological framework has to either slash costs for businesses by replacing human labor (like automating who sees what ads when and where), or drive a massive consumer adoption craze (like buying crypto or an oculus or an iphone.) with llms, it’s an arms race to build tools for businesses to reduce headcount by training base models on hyperspecific knowledge. it also excuses the ethical transgression of training these models on stolen knowledge / stolen art, because when has ethics ever stood in the way of making money? the other big piece is tech literacy; there’s an incentive for founders and vcs to obscure (or just lie) about what a technology is actually capable of to increase the value of the product. the metaverse could ā€œsupplant the physical world.ā€ crypto could ā€œsupplant our economic systems.ā€ now llms are going to ā€œsupplant human labor and intelligence.ā€ these are enticing stories for the owning class, because it gives them a New Thing that will enable them to own even more. but none of this tech can actually do that shit, which is why the booms around them bust in 6-18 months like clockwork. llms are a perfect implementation of [searle’s chinese room](https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/chinese-room/) but sam altman et al *insist* that artificial general intelligence is possible and the upper crust of silicon valley are doing moral panic at each other about how ā€œaiā€ is either paramount to or catastrophic for human flourishing, *when all it can do is echo back the information that humans have already amassed over the course of the last ~600 years.* but most people (including the people funding the technology and ceo types attempting to adopt it en masse) don’t know how it works under the hood, so it’s easy to pilot the ship in whatever direction fulfills a profit incentive because we can’t meaningfully imagine how to use something we don’t effectively understand.
Mar 24, 2024
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an unfortunate trend in environmental science. immediate tell someone has no idea what they're talking about. logistic regression is not ai. regression trees are not ai. shut up shut up shut up shut up
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everything AI knows it learns from the information it has access too. so if it has access to the stuff we put online...and like every depiction of AI in media is that it becomes "sentient" and evil...maybe it will think it's supposed to be evil. like it's gathering inspo.
Feb 12, 2024

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